top of page
Asian Institute of Research, Journal Publication, Journal Academics, Education Journal, Asian Institute
Asian Institute of Research, Journal Publication, Journal Academics, Education Journal, Asian Institute

Economics and Business

Quarterly Reviews

ISSN 2775-9237 (Online)

asian institute research, jeb, journal of economics and business, economics journal, accunting journal, business journal, managemet journal
asian institute research, jeb, journal of economics and business, economics journal, accunting journal, business journal, managemet journal
asian institute research, jeb, journal of economics and business, economics journal, accunting journal, business journal, managemet journal
asian institute research, jeb, journal of economics and business, economics journal, accunting journal, business journal, managemet journal
crossref
doi
open access

Published: 07 November 2022

The Role of Property Prices in the Conduct of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Down Under

Jan R. Kim, Gieyoung Lim

Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, South Korea

asian institute research, jeb, journal of economics and business, economics journal, accunting journal, business journal, management journal

Download Full-Text Pdf

doi

10.31014/aior.1992.05.04.464

Pages: 124-132

Keywords: Property Prices and Monetary Policy, Identified VAR Model for Open Economies, New Zealand and Australia

Abstract

This paper examines link between property prices and monetary policy in New Zealand and Australia. Using an identified VAR model for open economies, we address two questions, i.e., whether a loose monetary policy cause house price appreciation, and whether central banks of the two countries conduct a policy of “leaning against the wind” by responding to house price shocks. Our findings suggest that, following an expansionary monetary policy shock, house prices inflations fall immediately. Yet, we find that the impact of monetary policy shocks on housing is small to modest in both countries. Furthermore, we find that the interest rate does not respond systematically to changes in house prices in New Zealand, whereas the Reserve Bank of Australia do respond systematically to fluctuations in housing price inflation.

References

  1. Assenmacher-Wesche, K. and Gerlach, S. (2008a), Financial structure and the impact of monetary policy on asset prices, Swiss National Bank Working Paper 2008-16.

  2. Assenmacher-Wesche, K. and Gerlach, S. (2008b), Monetary policy, asset prices and macroeconomic conditions: a panel-VAR study, National Bank of Belgium Working Paper 149.

  3. Bernanke, B. and Gertler, M. (1989), Agency costs, net worth and business fluctuations. American Economic Review (79), pp.14–31.

  4. Bernanke, Ben, S., Gertler, M., and Gilchrist, S. (2000), The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. In: John, B., Taylor, Michael Woodford (Eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 1C. Elsevier Science, New York, pp. 1341–1393.

  5. Bernanke, B. and Kuttner, K.N. (2005), What explains the stock market’s reaction to federal reserve policy? Journal of Finance (60), pp.1221–1257.

  6. Clarida, R.m Galí, J., and Gertler, M. (2001), Optimal monetary policy in open versus closed economies: an integrated approach, American Economic Review Papers and Proceeding (91), pp.248–252.

  7. Gelain, P., Lansing, K. J., and Mendicino, C. (2013), House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy, International Journal of Central Banking (9), pp.219−76.

  8. Giuliodori, M. (2005), The role of house prices in the monetary transmission mechanism across European countries, Scottish Journal of Political Economy (52), pp.519–543.

  9. Goodhart, C. and Hofmann, B. (2001), Asset prices, financial conditions, and the transmission of monetary policy, In: Proceedings from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

  10. Iacoviello, M. (2005), House Prices, Borrowing Constraints, and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle, The American Economic Review (95), pp.739−64.

  11. Iacoviello, M. and Minetti, R. (2003), Financial Liberalization and the Sensitivity of House Prices to Monetary Policy: Theory and Evidence, The Manchester School (71), pp.20–34.

  12. Iacoviello, M. and Minetti, R. (2008), The credit channel of monetary policy: evidence from the housing market, Journal of Macroeconomics (30), pp.69–96.

  13. Kim, J. R. and Chung, K. (2018) Putting the present value model into practice: a comparison of two alternative approaches, Applied Economics (50), pp.4456-4469.

  14. Kishor, N. K. and Morley, J. (2015), What factors drive the price–rent ratio for the housing market? A modified present-value analysis, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (58), pp.235-249.

  15. Kohn, D. (2007), Success and failure of monetary policy since the 1950s, Speech at “Monetary policy over fifty years”, a conference to mark the fiftieth anniversary of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt, Germany.

  16. Mendicino, C., and Punzi, M. T. (2014), House Prices, Capital Inflows and Macroprudential Policy, Journal of Banking & Finance (49), pp.337−55.

  17. Mishkin, F. (2007), Housing and the monetary transmission mechanism, paper presented at the Annual Economic Symposium organised by the Kansas City Fed in Jackson Hole.

  18. Rigobon, R. and Sack, B. (2004), The impact of monetary policy on asset prices, Journal of Monetary Economics (51), pp.1553–1575.

  19. Rotemberg, J.J., and Woodford, M. (1997), An optimization-based econometric framework for the evaluation of monetary policy. In: Bernanke, B.S., Rotember, J.J. (Eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, pp. 297–346.

  20. Sá, F., Towbin, P., and Wieladek, T. (2014), Capital Inflows, Financial Structure and Housing Booms, Journal of the European Economic Association (12), pp.522−46.

  21. Scatigna, M., Szemere, R. and Tsatsaronis, K. (2014), Residential Property Price Statistics across the Globe, BIS Quarterly Review September, pp.61-76.

  22. Sutton, G. D., Mihaljek, D., and Subelyte, A (2017), Interest Rates and House Prices in the United Atates and around the World, In BIS Working Papers, No. 665

  23. Svensson, L.E.O. (2000), Open-economy inflation targeting, Journal of International Economics (50), pp.155–183.

  24. Vasquez-Ruiz, H. (2012), The Link between Foreign Capital Flows and Housing Prices: A Panel Data Estimation, unpublished manuscript, International Department, Central Bank of Dominican Republic.

bottom of page