Economics and Business
Quarterly Reviews
ISSN 2775-9237 (Online)
Published: 17 December 2018
The Effects of Booming Credit Growth on the Soundness of Commercial Banks: Empirical Research with the Case of Vietnam
Do Hoai Linh, Phan Anh Khoa
National Economics University, Vietnam
Download Full-Text Pdf
10.31014/aior.1992.01.04.56
Abstract
The research aims at investigating the impacts of rapid credit growth in Vietnam, that is called booming period occurred from 2007 to 2010, on the soundness of the Vietnamese commercial banks with quantitative methods. By using bank data collected from 18 major commercial banks from 2007 to 2013, the quantitative method is reflected through a strong regression model linking with variables for both microeconomic and macroeconomic factors. The influence of the credit boom was examined on basic aspects as asset quality, profitability, liquidity, capital adequacy. The findings seld lights on is that rapid credit growth weakens commercial banks on both sounder and less sound banks. Moreover, the findings also witnessed the relationship among rapid credit expansion and soundness of commercial banks, taking account the crucial role of bank performance as a determinant of credit growth.
References
-
Barajas, A., Dell’Ariccia, G., & Levchenko, A. (2007). Credit Booms: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly. IMF Working Paper (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
-
Berger, Allen N., and Gregory F. Udell (2004), “The Institutional Memory Hypothesis and the Procyclicality of Bank Lending Behavior,” Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 13, No. 4, pp. 458-95.
-
Aydin, Burcu, 2006, “Banking Structure and Credit Growth in Central and Eastern European Countries,” IMF Working Paper No. 08/215 (Washington: International Monetary Fund)
-
Ghosh, S. (2010, March). "Credit Growth, Bank Soundness, and Financial Fragility: Evidence from Indian Banking Sector," South Asia Economic Journal, 11, 69-98.
-
Banking Academy (2013). Bank lending for economic growth - Issues in the first quarter of 2013 and some policy recommendations (Tín dụng ngân hàng phục vụ tăng trưởng kinh tế - Những vấn đề đặt ra trong quí 1 năm 2013 và một số khuyến nghị chính sách), in the workshop at Banking Academy in Vietnam in 2013/
-
Berger, A.N., Clarke, G.R., Cull, R., Klapper, L., & Udell, G. (2005), “Corporate governance and bank performance: a joint analysis of the static, selection, and dynamic effects of domestic, foreign, and state ownership”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 29, 2179-2221.
-
De Haas, Ralph, and Iman van Lelyveld (2006), “Foreign Banks and Credit Stability in Central and Eastern Europe. A Panel Data Analysis”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 30, pp. 1927-52.
-
Altman, E., and A.Saunders (1999), “Credit risk measurement: developments over the last 29 years”, Journal of Banking and Finance 21, 1721-42.
-
Allen, F., Hryckiewicz, A., Kowalewski O. & Tümer-Alkan, G. (2014), Transmission of Bank Liquidity Shocks in Loan and Deposit Markets: The Role of Interbank Borrowing and Market Monitoring, Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 15, pp. 112–126.
-
Dell’Ariccia, Giovanni, Enrica Detragiache, and Raghuram Rajan, 2005, “The Real Effect of Banking Crises,” IMF Working Paper No. 05/63 (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
-
Igan, Deniz, and Natalia Tamirisa, 2008, “Are Weak Banks Leading Credit Booms? Evidence from Emerging Europe,” Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 50, pp. 599-619.
-
Honohan, P (1997). Banking system failures in developing and transition countries: Diagnosis and predictions. BIS Working Paper No.39, BIS: Basel.
-
Quach Manh Hao. (2012), “The weaknesses of the banking system in Vietnam (Những điểm yếu của hệ thống ngân hàng Việt Nam hiện nay)," Journal of Science, Vietnam National University Hanoi, Vietnam, (28), 23-28
-
To Ngoc Hung. (2013). Measures to deal with non-performing loans in the process of restructuring commercial banks in Vietnam (Xử lý nợ xấu trong quá trình tái cấu trúc ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam), Project of State Bank of Vietnam.
-
Dell’Ariccia, G., Detragiache, E., & Rajan, R. (2005). The Real Effect of Banking Crises. IMF Working Paper No. 05/63 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). Fisher. (1933). The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions. Economica, 1, 337-57.
-
Kishan, R., and T.P.Opiela (2000), “Bank size, bank capital, and the bank lending channel." Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 32, 121-41
-
De Nicoló, G., et al.. (2005). European Financial Integration, Stability and Supervision. In Euro Area Policies; Selected Issues, by Anthony Annett and others, IMF Country Report No. 05/266 (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
-
Igan, A., & Pinheiro, M. (2011). Credit Growth and Bank Soundness: Fast and Furious?. IMF Working Paper.